China still building empty apartments

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Yesterday, Zarathustra’s posted another interesting China report, which contained the below chart showing the continued strong growth (25% YoY) of fixed asset investment:

Below find a PBS Newshour video report (h/t Hugh Pavletich) from Beijing-based economist, Yoram Bauman, who explores the possibility of a Beijing housing bubble.

In the video, Bauman takes viewers on a brief tour of empty new apartment buildings sitting along side construction sites where yet more apartments are under construction.

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Yet, despite the glut of empty apartments, Bauman uncovers anecdotal evidence of Beijing apartments with price-to-rent ratios of around 55:1 (gross rental yield of only 1.8%) – nearly twice that of New York, which is the United States’ city with the highest price-to-rent ratio.

The video provides an insight into a situation that seems unlikely to end well.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.