RP Data weekly Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 29 May 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, fell by 0.50%. It was the third consecutive week of falls (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2628 May. 30 07.21

Values fell in three capitals and rose in two (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2629 May. 30 07.23

Values are down 1.76% so far in May, with values falling in all major capitals (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2630 May. 30 07.24
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Values are now up by 2.05% so far in 2014, driven by solid gains in Sydney, with Perth values under water:

ScreenHunter_2631 May. 30 07.25

Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 10.94% at the 5-city level, led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2632 May. 30 07.26

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend has stalled, with weakness evident across all major markets (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2633 May. 30 07.27
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Values are up 5.7% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Melbourne and Perth values also up, but Brisbane and Adelaide in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_2634 May. 30 07.28

However, major capital home values have now gained 14.2% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_2635 May. 30 07.29

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.