Canadian house prices are still falling in October:
![](https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/rthws.png)
![](https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/we-1.png)
Though volumes picked up a a bit:
![](https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/fbs.png)
Still to come are the big changes for lending standards:
On the horizon in terms of tighter credit regulations is a new rule from the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions that would target home buyers with down payments of more than 20 per cent with a tough new stress test: they would have to qualify based on a rate 200 basis points above their contract.
“It could be the biggest rule change of all-time,” said Rob McLister, the founder of ratespy.com. The housing market has already been adjusting to changes in the insured market, instituted in 2016, which forced homeowners with less than a 20 per cent downpayment to qualify based on the Bank of Canada five-year qualifying rate as opposed to the one on their contract. That rate is now 4.84 per cent.
Pain ahead.