Buyers’ Agent: Melbourne housing market is a “bloodbath”

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By Leith van Onselen

When the property spruiking AFR uses language like “bloodbath”, you know the housing situation in Melbourne has turned pear-shaped:

“It’s a bloodbath,” said Emma Bloom, a buyers’ agent for Morrell and Koren. “There’s a big increase in the number of auctions where there is only one bidder, passed in without a bid, or being sold below expectations”.

A credit squeeze, rising rates and falling sentiment are contributing to clearance rates slipping below 50 per cent in Melbourne, the lowest in eight years and down more than 70 per cent for the same weekend last year…

Claudio Perruzza, a director of Biggin Scott, added: “Slower sales means there is no buyer urgency”…

The below charts tell the story.

Quarterly prices are falling at rates not seen since the 2011-12 correction:

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Melbourne has experienced the steepest value declines this calendar year, nearing 5%:

The auction clearance rate in Melbourne has crashed, running at levels not seen since 2011:

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Whereas both housing finance growth and transaction volumes have similarly slumped:

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There’s nothing to suggest that the market will turn around. If anything, the housing situation is getting more gloomy, as suggested by the increasingly panicked reporting by the MSM.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.