Actual capex slides, to weigh on Q2 GDP

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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) today released data on capital expenditures (capex) for the June quarter, which registered a 0.5% seasonally adjusted fall in capex volumes over the quarter and a 1.0% decrease over the year (see below table).

The 0.5% quarterly decline missed market expectations of a 0.4% rise.

The first chart below shows actual capex by industry in dollar terms (rather than volume terms as shown above), which actually rose by 0.2% over the quarter. Mining capex (+2.3%) and manufacturing capex (+9.7%) rose in nominal terms, partly offset by “Other” capex (-1.7%) terms:

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“Other” (services) capex (64% share) remains the leader, followed by mining capex (27% share), with manufacturing capex at a still dismal 8% in the June quarter:

It was a mixed bag across the jurisdictions, with rises across NSW, WA, NT and ACT mostly offset by falls across VIC, QLD, SA and TAS:

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Today’s 0.5% real capex fall should detract from Q2 GDP when it is released early next month.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.