Via everybody:
An Open Letter from Australian Economists on Tradeoffs During the COVID-19 Crisis
Corresponding authors:
Chris Edmond ([email protected])
Steven Hamilton ([email protected])
Richard Holden ([email protected])
Bruce Preston ([email protected])Please click here to sign. The views expressed are those of the signatories and not necessarily those of their employer.
19 April 2020
Dear Prime Minister and Members of the National Cabinet:
The undersigned economists have witnessed and participated in the public debate about when to relax social-distancing measures in Australia. Some commentators have expressed the view that there is a trade-off between the public health and economic aspects of the crisis. We, as economists, believe this is a false distinction.
We cannot have a functioning economy unless we first comprehensively address the public health crisis. The measures put in place in Australia, at the border and within the states and territories, have reduced the number of new infections. This has put Australia in an enviable position compared to other countries, and we must not squander that success.
We recognise that the measures taken to date have come at a cost to economic activity and jobs, but believe these are far outweighed by the lives saved and the avoided economic damage due to an unmitigated contagion. We believe that strong fiscal measures are a much better way to offset these economic costs than prematurely loosening restrictions.
As has been foreshadowed in your public remarks, our borders will need to remain under tight control for an extended period. It is vital to keep social-distancing measures in place until the number of infections is very low, our testing capacity is expanded well beyond its already comparatively high level, and widespread contact tracing is available.
A second-wave outbreak would be extremely damaging to the economy, in addition to involving tragic and unnecessary loss of life.
Sincerely,
Jeff Borland—Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne Advertisement Lisa Cameron—Professorial Research Fellow, Melbourne Institute, University of Melbourne AdvertisementEfrem Castelnuovo—Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementDeborah Cobb-Clark—Professor of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementAshley Craig—Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Michigan AdvertisementChris Edmond—Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementNisvan Erkal—Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementJohn Freebairn—Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementRenée Fry-McKibbin—Professor of Economics, Australian National University AdvertisementJoshua Gans—Professor of Strategic Management, University of Toronto AdvertisementJacob Goeree—Scientia Professor and Professor of Economics, UNSW Business School AdvertisementQuentin Grafton—Professor of Economics, Australian National University AdvertisementSimon Grant —Professor of Economics, Australian National University AdvertisementPauline Grosjean—Professor of Economics, UNSW Business School Advertisement Jane Hall—Distinguished Professor of Health Economics, University of Technology Sydney AdvertisementSteven Hamilton—Assistant Professor of Economics, The George Washington University AdvertisementIan Harper—Dean and Director, Melbourne Business School, University of Melbourne AdvertisementRichard Holden—Professor of Economics, UNSW Business School AdvertisementDavid Johnston—Professor, Centre for Health Economics, Monash University AdvertisementFlavio Menezes—Professor of Economics, The University of Queensland AdvertisementWarwick McKibbin—Professor of Economics, Australian National University AdvertisementSimon Mongey—Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Chicago AdvertisementJames Morley—Professor of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementJoseph Mullins—Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Minnesota AdvertisementAbigail Payne— Professor and Director, Melbourne Institute, University of Melbourne AdvertisementBruce Preston—Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementSue Richardson—Emeritus Professor of Economics, Flinders University AdvertisementStefanie Schurer—Professor of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementKalvinder Shields—Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementJohn Quiggin—Professor of Economics, The University of Queensland AdvertisementSimon Quinn—Associate Professor of Economics, University of Oxford Advertisement James Vickery—Senior Economic Advisor and Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia AdvertisementTom Wilkening—Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne Advertisement Justin Wolfers —Professor of Economics and Professor of Public Policy, University of Michigan AdvertisementYves Zenou—Professor of Economics, Monash University AdvertisementAlfredo Paloyo—Senior Lecturer, University of Wollongong AdvertisementPei Cheng Yu—Lecturer, University of New South Wales AdvertisementIsa Hafalir—Professor of Economics, University of Technology Sydney AdvertisementEmil Temnyalov—Senior Lecturer, University of Technology Sydney AdvertisementHongyi Li—Senior Lecturer, UNSW Business School AdvertisementChristopher Gibbs—Senior Lecturer, The University of Sydney AdvertisementGordon Menzies—Associate Professor of Economics, University of Technology Sydney AdvertisementViet Nguyen—Senior Research Fellow, Melbourne Institute, University of Melbourne AdvertisementAarti Singh—Associate Professor of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementSilvia Mendolia—Senior Lecturer, University of Wollongong Advertisement Andrew John—Associate Professor of Economics, Melbourne Business School, University of Melbourne AdvertisementAkshay Shanker—Research Fellow, UNSW Business School AdvertisementYusuf Mercan—Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementMei Dong—Associate Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementTim Robinson—Senior Research Fellow, Melbourne Institute, University of Melbourne AdvertisementRoss Hickey—Senior Research Fellow, Melbourne Institute, University of Melbourne AdvertisementOnur Kesten—Professor of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementMengheng Li—Lecturer, University of Technology Sydney AdvertisementPeter Siminski—Professor of Economics, University of Technology Sydney AdvertisementGuay Lim—Professorial Fellow, Melbourne Institute, University of Melbourne AdvertisementIan McDonald—Emeritus Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementDavid P. Byrne—Associate Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementArpita Chatterjee —Senior Lecturer, UNSW Business School AdvertisementTomasz Wozniak—Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementMehmet Ozmen—Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementMichael Coelli—Associate Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementTrung Duc Tran—Research Fellow, The University of Sydney AdvertisementSiqi Pan—Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementJoshua B. Miller—Associate Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementXueyuan Wu—Associate Professor of Actuarial Studies, University of Melbourne AdvertisementLeslie Martin—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementTrung Duc Tran—Research Fellow, The University of Sydney AdvertisementSandy Suardi—Professor of Economics, University of Wollongong AdvertisementYong Song—Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementOlena Stavrunova—Associate Professor of Economics, University of Technology Sydney AdvertisementRobert Dixon—Professorial Fellow, University of Melbourne Advertisement Tom Kompas—Professor of Environmental Economics and Biosecurity, University of Melbourne AdvertisementAlexandru Nichifor—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementKevin Fox—Professor of Economics, UNSW Business School AdvertisementPeter Lloyd—Professor Emeritus of Economics, University of Melbourne AdvertisementAndrew Clarke—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementHayley Fisher—Senior Lecturer, The University of Sydney AdvertisementGarry Barrett—Professor of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementAlberto Motta—Associate Professor of Economics, UNSW Business School AdvertisementOleg Yerokhin—Senior Lecturer, University of Wollongong AdvertisementAnton Kolotilin—Associate Professor of Economics, UNSW Business School AdvertisementKristle Romero Cortés—Senior Lecturer, UNSW Business School AdvertisementJohn Romalis—Sir Hermann Black Chair of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementKeiichi Kawai—Senior Lecturer, UNSW Business School AdvertisementMay Li—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementJohn Tang—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementVictoria Baranov—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementShuping Shi—Professor of Economics, Macquarie University AdvertisementMariano Kulish—Professor of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementFrank Neri—Senior Lecturer, University of Wollongong AdvertisementLionel Page—Professor of Economics, University of Technology Sydney AdvertisementLawrence Uren—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementAlastair Fraser—Lecturer, The University of Sydney AdvertisementGautam Bose—Associate Professor of Economics, UNSW Business School AdvertisementDarla Hatton MacDonald—Associate Professor of Economics, University of Tasmania AdvertisementJorge Miranda-Pinto—Lecturer, The University of Queensland AdvertisementPedro Gomis-Porqueras—Professor of Economics, Deakin University AdvertisementSephorah Mangin—Senior Lecturer, Australian National University AdvertisementBegoña Dominguez—Associate Professor of Economics, The University of Queensland AdvertisementIsabella Dbrescu—Associate Professor of Economics, UNSW Business School AdvertisementFaisal Sohail—Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementNicolas de Roos—Associate Professor of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementAndrew Wait—Associate Professor of Economics, The University of Sydney AdvertisementShuanming Li—Professor of Actuarial Studies, University of Melbourne AdvertisementKevin Staub—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementIvan Balbuzanov—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementNahid Khan—Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementFrancesco Carli—Senior Lecturer, Deakin University AdvertisementGiovanni Caggiano—Associate Professor, Monash University AdvertisementWenying Yao—Senior Lecturer, Deakin University AdvertisementSam Tsiaplias—Senior Research Fellow, Melbourne Institute, The University of Melbourne AdvertisementLaura Puzzello—Senior Lecturer, Monash University AdvertisementAyushi Bajaj—Lecturer, Monash University AdvertisementBenjamin Wong—Senior Lecturer, Monash University AdvertisementMarco Faravelli—Associate Professor of Economics, The University of Queensland AdvertisementDenni Tommasi—Lecturer, Monash University AdvertisementBin Peng—Senior Lecturer, Deakin University AdvertisementReshad Ahsan—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementHeather Anderson—Professor of Economics and Econometrics, Monash University AdvertisementSatoshi Tanaka—Senior Lecturer, University of Queensland AdvertisementDan Zhu—Senior Lecturer, Monash University AdvertisementFarshid Vahid-Araghi—Professor of Econometrics, Monash University AdvertisementRichard J Smith—Professorial Fellow, University of Melbourne Advertisement Jiti Gao—Donald Cochrane Chair of Business and Economics and Professor of Econometrics, Monash University AdvertisementQingyuan Du—Senior Lecturer, Monash University AdvertisementLaura Panza—Senior Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementTim Moore—Associate Professor of Economics, Purdue University AdvertisementPeter Sivey—Associate Professor of Economics, RMIT University AdvertisementFederico Masera—Lecturer, UNSW Business School AdvertisementElif Incekara Hafalir—Lecturer, University of Technology Sydney AdvertisementMaria Recalde—Lecturer, University of Melbourne AdvertisementLata Gangadharan—Professor of Economics, Monash University AdvertisementFabrizio Carmignani—Professor of Economics, Griffith University