Aussie property investors bleed losses

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CoreLogic has released its housing market Pain & Gain report for the June 2020 quarter, which reveals that 18.0% investors sold their property for a loss over the quarter, up from 16.8% in the March quarter:

This compared to 11.1% of owner occupiers that sold for a loss over the same period.

The losses were greatest in the apartment segment, which is heavily dominated by investors, where 20.7% of properties sold for a loss, up from 19.8% over the March quarter:

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This was roughly double the proportion of houses sold for a loss over the same period.

These results are obviously flattered by the emergency mortgage repayment holiday, which according to APRA 393,467 mortgages were deferred as at 31 August, accounting for 7% of total mortgage facilities.

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Once these repayment holidays end over coming months, it is highly likely that a significant number of forced sales will sell for a loss.

The risk is greatest for apartment property investors in Melbourne and Sydney, given rental vacancy rates have ballooned:

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And rents have collapsed:

The supply pipeline across Melbourne and Sydney also remains strong despite negative net overseas migration forecast over 2021 and 2022:

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Thus, apartment investors in Melbourne and Sydney face the toxic combination of falling prices and rents as many also grapple with unemployment.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.