Welcome to the commodity supercrash

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Has anybody else noticed how nobody is talking about a “commodity supercycle” anymore? There is a good reason for this. A commodity supercrash has begun instead.

According to bulls for much of the past six months, an endless delight of commodity super prices was ahead. Everything from oil to iron ore was going stay higher for longer because there was so little of it.

According to the thesis, futures were irrelevant, demand infinite and China obsolete as developed economy stimulus took centre-stage.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.