Goldman Sachs has released a new paper entitled “Why is US Labor Supply so Low?”, which is leading to wage pressures:
Goldman shows that US labour force participation rate has declined more since 2019Q4 than in most other developed economies:
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Goldman ascribes four main drivers of the US’ low participation rate:
- About one-half of the US labour force participation rate shortfall is attributed to generous fiscal support, which has likely discouraged labour supply.
- About one-third of the shortfall is attributed to the way in which fiscal support was delivered via generous unemployment benefits instead of job retention schemes.
- Roughly one-sixth of the shortfall is attributed to virus fears.