Auction results flash red for Australian house prices

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CoreLogic has released its final auction report for last weekend, which shows the national clearance rate collapsing to 53.2% – the worst result since July 2020:

National auction clearance rate

Worst auction clearance rate since the start of the pandemic.

The result nationally was a far cry from the same weekend last year when 72.1% of auctions were successful.

Sydney’s auction clearance rate was especially grim, falling below 50% for the first time since April 2020. It was also more than 20 percentage points lower than the rate recorded a year ago (70.5%).

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As regular readers know, auction clearances are a good leading indicator of prices in Sydney and Melbourne.

The collapse in Sydney’s auction clearance rate is pointing to even steeper prices falls:

Sydney auction results versus house prices growth

Sydney house prices set to fall sharply.

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Less severe house price falls are also on the cards for Melbourne:

Melbourne auction clearances versus prices

Melbourne house prices to also keep falling.

Sydney and Melbourne continue to lead Australia’s nascent house price correction. With the Reserve Bank tightening interest rates aggressively, it’s only a matter of time before the weakness spreads to the other markets.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.