The uninvestible Euro

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An excellent note from Nordea with which I agree. 


Rapid monetary policy tightening is set to continue as also the ECB has turned even more hawkish. Rates have more upside potential left, while the US economy should continue to outperform the Euro area, pushing EUR/USD further down.

75bp rate hikes seem to have become the new norm, at least as far as the ECB and the Fed are concerned, despite the ECB saying the opposite. We expect to see more large hikes, even in the Euro area, where the economic outlook is dreadful and a recession looms.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.