Brisbane house prices are now the ‘biggest loser’

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According to CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index, Brisbane house prices have taken a giant dump in October.

As at 29 October 2022, Brisbane house prices had fallen by 1.78%, easily the largest price drop in the nation:

Monthly house price decline

Brisbane’s quarterly decline has also accelerated to -5.4%, overtaking Sydney (-5.3%) as the nation’s fastest declining property market:

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Quarterly dwelling value growth

Brisbane house prices experienced the nation’s largest increase over the pandemic, with CoreLogic recording 45% growth between February 2020 to the peak in June 2022.

It, therefore, makes sense that Brisbane house prices will experience sharp falls in response to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) aggressive monetary tightening.

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Already, Brisbane’s current 6.4% fall from peak is the fastest rate of price decline in CoreLogic records dating back to 1980:

Brisbane decline from peak

So, with the RBA expected to hike the official cash rate another 0.25% on Tuesday followed by another 0.25% rise in December, Brisbane house prices will continue to fall as borrowing capacity shrinks.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.