China property crash resumes

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A new COVID outbreak is building in China:

Mobility sucks despite Golden Week:

 

Property sales have resumed their downtrend after the Chongqing reopening pop. Developer funding is still frozen:

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There are many different data providers on Chinese property but they are all saying the same thing:

Times China tumbled by 10.2%, Longfor Gruop down nearly 9%, CIFI holdings down 8.3%, KWG Group sliding 7.6% and Country Garden and Seazen Holdings sliding 6.9%.

Data from the China Real Estate Information Technology showed that China’s top 100 property developers’ sales in September, a traditional busy season for China’s housing market, reached 570.96 billin yuan, falling by 25.4% from a year earlier, narrowing from the previous months. The sales grew by 10% from the previous month, much slower than above 20% for the same period in previous years, showed the data.

The slower month-on-month growth was mainly because potential homebuyers mostly hold wait-and-see attitude and the improvement in the year-on-year growthwas mainly due to low comparison base in the second half of 2021, said analysts.

Property is for living in, not speculation and it is not coming back.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.