Last Coalition stronghold faces election wipeout

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Australia faces the prospect of wall-to-wall Labor governments across the mainland with the NSW Perrottet Government staring down the barrel of defeat at the 25 March election.

According to polling by Roy Morgan Research, the ALP (+3% since November) increased its lead over the L-NP (-3% since November) at the end of 2022:

NSW two-party preferred vote

Both major parties were neck-and-neck on primary vote (33.5%), with support for the minor parties (including the Greens) lifting:

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NSW primary vote

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.