So much for the wage-price spiral

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The notion that Australia is facing a wage-price inflation spiral has been debunked once and for all by the below chart from Macquarie Macro Strategy, which shows wage growth falling:

Australian wage growth

Not only is the official wage price index reporting slower growth, but so too is SEEK’s Advertised Salaries Index.

Likewise, the latest Melbourne Institute survey showed that the share of Australian workers reporting pay rises has fallen (see here), whereas Xero’s small business wages measure has plummeted:

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Xero wages growth

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.