The rising Asian gas price:
Has finally dragged up the local gas spot price:
With gas at around $10Gj, electricity prices will rebound by 50% quickly. The AEMO’s lagged quarterly power price benchmark still has further to fall, so bill relief should still come:
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But it looks like we’ve bottomed out. Futures remain much higher as well:
At least gas inventories are higher now, so there is some buffer to prevent price spikes. Stupidly, Albo did not apply the $12Gj gas price cap to the spot market, even though it sets the marginal price of electricity.
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So, the gas export cartel could renew its gouge at any moment.