Capex outlook overheats amid economic burnout

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This will not please the RBA.

Despite endless per capita recession, the Australian private capex outlook is overheating:

  • Estimate 4 for 2023-24 is $171.2b
  • This is 8.5% higher than Estimate 3 for 2023-24

The fourth estimate tends to be predictive of the realisation ratios, so the outlook is strong.

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Where’s it coming from? Everywhere:

Remember, this is only private capex. Public investment is even more manic.

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Yet the capital available to the supply side of the economy is still shallowing despite the overheating investment because quantitative peopling is so far out of control.

This is total economic mismanagement as the capex engine roars with the handbrake hard on, and all living standards do is burn rubber on the spot, covering everybody with toxic smoke.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.