Rental market swamped by 766,000 migrant arrivals

Advertisement

I reported yesterday that Australia’s net overseas migration hit an all-time high 549,000 in the year to September, comprising a record high 83% of Australia’s population growth:

Historical NOM

Even in growth rate terms, Australia’s population growth rate of 2.5% was the fastest since 1952:

Australian population growth rate
Advertisement

Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors, published terrific charts on Twitter (X) providing more insights into the data.

In the year to September 2023, an astonishing 765,900 migrants arrived in Australia, offset by 217,200 departures:

NOM arrivals and departures
Advertisement

Australia’s 2.5% population growth completely dwarfs the circa 0.5% growth across advanced nations:

Australian and advanced economy population growth

Migration records are being smashed across Australia’s major states:

Advertisement
NOM by state

And the record population growth has completely overrun housing supply, driving rents into the stratosphere:

Dwellings per capita and rents

It is an unmitigated disaster for Australian renters.

Advertisement

The only saving grace is that Canada shows that it could always be worse:

Population growth: Australia, NZ, Canada

As bad as the situation is in Australia, Canada says, “hold my beer”:

Canada population vs rents
Advertisement
About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.