Foreign interest in Australian property sours

Advertisement

According to the quarterly NAB property survey, the share of foreign buyers in new Australian housing markets dropped from 11% in Q4 to 10% in Q1, but is above the long-term survey average (9.1%).

The market share has nearly five-fold increased since the COVID-19 pandemic in mid-2021, when it was barely over 2%.

Foreign purchasers’ market share in new property markets decreased in Q1 due to declines in NSW (12%, down from 15% in Q4) and WA (11%, down from 14.2%). In Q4, foreign purchasers increased in QLD (7.6%, down from 6.3%) and held flat in VIC (10%).

The market share of international customers is above average in all assessed states.

Advertisement

In established housing markets, foreign purchasers dropped to 3.8% (4.0% in Q4), remaining below the average (4.7%).

Market share rose to 4.5% in NSW from 4.2% in Q4.

Advertisement

Other states saw market share decline in Q1: QLD (4.0%), VIC (3.8%), and WA (2.2%).

Foreign buyers’ market share in established property markets in Q1 remained below long-term averages across all states.

Advertisement

The last chart is the kicker. That is a very modest rebound given the extreme levels of immigration.

This bares out recent reports that Chinese buyers, in particular, have turned sellers of Aussie property.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.