Over the weekend, Resolve Political Monitor released polling showing that the Coalition has surged ahead on primary vote:
Peter Dutton has also taken the lead on preferred Prime Minister:
“The important point is not Dutton’s narrow lead, but that he’s drawn level at all when this measure typically favours fresh incumbents”, Resolve director Jim Reed said.
“There are many voters who will be aghast because they made up their minds about Dutton a long time ago and aren’t for changing. But he’s coming through loud and clear to a lot of voters on the issues that matter to them”.
Separate polling from AFR Freshwater showed that Anthony Albanese has lost ground to Peter Dutton, to be just 2% ahead as preferred prime minister and, for the first time, has a lower approval rating than the opposition leader.
The polling showed that the parties remain tied at 50% apiece on a two party-preferred basis, and their primary votes haven’t shifted:
New polling from Roy Morgan likewise shows that The Albanese Government and the Liberal-National Coalition are now ‘dead even’ on two-party preferred terms: ALP 50% (down 3.5%) versus the Coalition 50% (up 3.5%).
“If a Federal Election were held now the result would be too close to call with a hung parliament and the support of minor parties and independents required for either the ALP or Coalition to form a minority government”, Roy Morgan noted.
Anthony Albanese looks to be emulating “Big Australia” Kevin Rudd. He too was elected amid popular fanfare, only to see support rapidly erode amid record immigration.
Albo’s biggest failures were to run immigration full tilt into a supply-constrained economy, along with failing to address the broken East Coast gas market
