Australian dollar sell the rallies

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DXY was flat night:

AUD was flogged again:

North Asia is bifurcating with JPY up and CNY down:

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Oil down:

Commodities down:

Miners at the cliff’s edge:

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EM is fine:

Junk is fine:

The curve bull steepened:

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Stocks faded:

The tactical future of the AUD lies in the US with the election and Fed cuts.

The longer-term future is still tied to China and commodity prices.

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Fed cuts could give us a pop in AUD at any moment.

However, rallies will push against the fast deteriorating strategic outlook of failing Chinese growth, exacerbated by a likely Trump presidency.

It adds up to a sell-the-rallies view of the AUD.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.