Perth continues to lead house price boom

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According to CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index, home values across the five major capital city markets grew by 0.5% in August:

CoreLogic August movements

As shown above, monthly growth was driven by the smaller markets of Perth (1.9%), Adelaide (1.3%), and Brisbane (0.9%), whereas Sydney recorded softer growth (0.3%) and Melbourne values declined (-0.2%).

It was a similar story over the August quarter, with values rising by 1.6% at the 5-city aggregate level, driven by the same markets, and Melbourne declining:

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CoreLogic August quarter

Over the first eight months of 2024, dwelling values have risen by 4.9% at the 5-city aggregate level:

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As shown above, there is wild variation between the capitals. On the one hand, Melbourne dwelling values have fallen by 1.1% in 2024, whereas on the other, Perth has recorded explosive value growth of 16.5%.

The following chart plots the rebound since dwelling values at the 5-city aggregate level bottomed on 29 January 2023:

Rebound from trough
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Across the combined major capitals, values have risen by 16.2%. Again, Perth (35.1%) has led the rebound, whereas Melbourne values (3.6%) have remained fairly stagnant.

Finally, the following chart plots the 28-day change across the major capitals as a time series:

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As you can see, there is wide variation. Perth value growth remains hot, whereas Melbourne values continue to fall.

Overall value growth at the 5-city aggregate level remains fairly steady, however, tracking around the 0.5% growth range.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.