Are commodities the new bonds?

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Michael Hartnett at BofA has gone gaga for dirt.


Zeitgeist: “We present at the trade shows because customers want to see you using AI. Can’t figure out how to make any money with it, though.”

The Price is Right: big support levels held in August…3.8% GT10, 4.0% GT30, 100 DXY,140 USDJPY, $70 oil, $60k Bitcoin; reversal higher in bond yields likely on positioning (big UST inflow this wk), policy (Fed= priced in), seasonality (big Sep supply), geopolitics (no oil risk premium), protectionism; if ISM >49 then GT30 >4.3%..better Q4 opportunity.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.