Australian dollar prepares for the worst

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DXY faded last night:

AUD held on:

JPY is unwinding more carry:

Oil is screwed:

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Another metals pimple bursts:

Big miners are going to retest 2022 lows:

EM has a nice head and shoulders top:

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But junk is still pretty happy:

US yields are breaking down:

Stocks look precariously double-topped:

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Last night’s key data was JOLTS and it was weak:

If we get another weak BLS on Friday, all bets are off for this market.

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Yields will crash towards 50bps cuts but stocks will also fall on the mushrooming growth scare.

This is not an environment in which AUD can prosper.

Of course, a good BLS report could reverse all of that.

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As said many times, employment reports a craps shoot, but the trend in US jobs is not good so be careful.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.