Assessing Chinese “bazookas”

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A sober report from Barclays with excellent detail.


Symmetric interest rate cut and mortgage rates cut

To protect banks’ NIM, PBoC governor Pan said lending and deposit rates will be cut symmetrically by 20-25bp. We estimate a cut of such magnitude would benefit corporates and free some capacity for new investment, while given the high savings of the Chinese households, the benefits from the 50bp mortgage rate cuts and loss from deposit rates cut are almost cancelled out.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.