Australian dollar blown up by exploding oil

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DXY is up and away:

Smashing the runaway AUD back down:

North Asia too:

Oil surged:

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Metals rolled:

Miners too

And EM:

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Junk is fine

Yields lifted:

Stocks eased:

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A doddering Joe Biden suggested Israel might bomb Iranian oil fields and here we are.

Strong oil is always strong DXY these days.

I don’t think bombing Iranian oil fields is in the Biden administration’s interest entering an election so this is probably spit balling by a fading mind.

Pump pain is one of the top priorities to avoid for an incumbent.

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Alas, this has jump started my fear that the Chinese stimulus would lift oil next.

So long as this trade lasts, AUD will correct.

I still expect another leg higher into year end.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.