Australian dollar turns crazy China proxy

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DXY is taking a breather:

As expected, AUD bounced:

North Asia is weak:

Gold and oil popped:

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Metals too:

And bid miners:

EM yawn:

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Junk is fine:

Yields eased:

Stocks ATH again:

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Here’s the chart of the week. CFTC longs jumped to 33k, the longest in six years, even as the price was smashed:

This is the kind of hysterical positioning and price action we are seeing in Chinese markets.

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AUD has become a proxy for the so-called “stimulus” that is no such thing so far, including the Saturday MOF conference which was all extend and pretend measures channelling Japan.

With AUD positing surging so fast against the price movement, I can only conclude that it is indeed close to the top of its current surge.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.