Australian dollar looks up to US jobs

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DXY is hacking its way through more serious timber.

AUD is off the lows.

Aided by North Asia.

Oil needs to be $10 lower. I think we’ll get there.

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Dirt meh.

Miners meh.

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EM meh.

Junk meh.

Looks like Treasuries are setting up for US jobs disappointment.

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Which stocks will love.

Goldman on the NFP tonight.

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We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose by 235k in November, above consensus of +215k … the end of strikes and the recent hurricanes that weighed on October job growth will likely boost November job growth. We estimate that the unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1%, in line with consensus.

Even that would probably be enough to keep the pressure on DXY and offer relief to AUD.

DXY is still very overbought.

It will take a blowout jobs number to prevent further consolidation.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.