More migrants equal more jobs but less money

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ANZ has an interesting chart today.

Without putting too fine a point on it, there is a correlation between population growth and job creation. This is pretty uncontroversial and part of the well-understood demographic dividend.

When the inflows are accompanied by an exogenous boom, such as between 2003 and 2012, this makes perfect sense. The demand for labour from capital deepening is such that immigration is disinflationary and helps not overcook income gains vis inflation.

But when the inflows become the driver of investment, it becomes capital shallowing, productivity collapses and, although there are abundant jobs, there is no real income growth.

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It is a system designed to enrich ASX100 executives and provide politicians with bogus headline statistics to defend power.

While you get interminably poorer.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.