Will Victoria sink the Albanese government?

Friday 31 January 2025

Every opinion poll released in 2025 has shown the Albanese Labor government trailing Peter Dutton’s Coalition on both primary and two-party prefered vote.

In recent elections, Victoria has represented a stronghold for the federal Labor Party.

The 2022 federal election saw Labor win 24 out of 39 Victorian seats and 54.83% of the two-party preferred vote.

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About the author

Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.