Australian dollar pivot to Europe?

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Deutsche with the note.


We wrote yesterday that our conviction level on the bearish EURUSD view had declined largely on consistent signalling of a more conservative fiscal policy from the US administration than what we had assumed since the start of the year.

This is the primary reason behind the recent rally in US Treasuries, in our view.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.