Australian dollar crashes with everything

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DXY held on as safe haven flows pick up despite the new super EUR.

AUD crashed against everything.

Lead boots stable

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Oil needs to be in the $50s.

Commods are far too high for a US recession.

Miners = dogs.

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EM likewsie.

Junk is serene. Maybe it needs to break to flush this bearish impulse.

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Yields falling but nowhere near enough.

As stocks become the disinflation mechanism.

If a US recession comes owing to Trump cuts and chaos, it comes everywhere.

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BCA Research.

There is a plan here:

  • Engineer a recession to kill inflation while imposing tariffs to restructure supply chains.
  • Blame Biden for recession.
  • Ride the restructured economy with lower rates to the new Golden Age!

Rates need to go much lower before it works. Markets deflating ASAP aids the plan.

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AUD going lower.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.