Stocks to go lower

Tuesday 18 March 2025

Deutsche with the note.

How much further can the selloff go?

Viewing the selloff through the lens of equity positioning, from the post-election peak in December near the top of its long-run historical band (0.77, 92nd percentile), positioning has been cut sharply, but only to modestly underweight levels (z score -0.36, 26th percentile).

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About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.